Why stop betting on Saquon Barkley now?
The Eagles running back is on an unbelievable tear and I’m not picking against him in Super Bowl 2025.
Barkley’s rushing yards prop is a bit lower than it’s been in recent weeks, sitting at just 109.5 (-110, FanDuel Sportsbook) – a number he’s had no problem topping during Philly’s march to the Big Game.
The former Giant has cleared 117 in each of his last five games, including at least 150 in three.
During an NFC Championship game blowout over the Commanders, Barkley got to 118 yards — and three touchdowns — on a measly 15 carries.
DraftKings pegged him for the highest rushing yard over/under in the sportsbook’s history for that game, but he easily went Under.
But I think oddsmakers are over-adjusting – Barkley nearly hit that number even with the game largely out of hand during a 55-23 rout.
He previously rushed for 119 yards against the Packers in the wild-card round before tallying 205 against the Rams in the second round.
| Anytime TD | Rushing yards | Receiving yards | Rec + Rush yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| -220 | o111.5 (-114) u111.5 (-114) | o12.5 (-112) u12.5 (-117) | o127.5 (-112) u127.5 (-117) |
The Chiefs’ run defense has struggled this postseason despite their Super Bowl return, allowing 149 yards to the Texans in the divisional round and another 147 to the Bills in the AFC Championship game.
Buffalo running back James Cook had 85 yards on the ground in just 15 attempts, while Houston’s Joe Mixon had 88 on 18 attempts.
Barkley should get way more run Sunday and have much more success doing so.
The play: Saquon Barkley Over 111.5 rushing yards (-114, BetRivers Sportsbook)
Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.