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Jul 22, 2025  |  
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 | Remer,MN
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NextImg:Prediction markets reveal strong expectations for Happy Gilmore 2 in early reviews

You’re going to die, clown!

Happy Gilmore 2 is set to debut on big — well, multi-sized — screens near you on Netflix, as the movie will feature Adam Sandler returning for the sequel to mid-90s cult classic.

Kalshi, a prediction market exchange betting platform that takes bets on real-life events, says the movie is expected to receive modest critical acclaim from Rotten Tomatoes.

At the time of writing, Kalshi has an Over/Under score on Rotten Tomatoes of 46.2 percent (Tomatometer score), although this represents a steady decrease from the original, which was released in 1996.

The market has received tons of betting action from the public, with $86,231 wagered on the reception of this movie at the time of writing.

Happy Gilmore (1996) received a 63 percent on the popular film review site.

There’s also the option of going higher than those projected numbers, with a bettor potentially being more or less bullish on that rating.

Man playing golf by the ocean.
Adam Sandler teeing off again as Happy Gilmore. GC Images

Kalshi currently projects that this slapstick comedy movie will receive a rating above 90 percent from Rotten Tomatoes, meaning a $10 bet would payout $167 if the movie somehow does eclipse that lofty standard.

Sandler will be re-joined by Ben Stiller, Julie Bowen and Christopher McDonald in the highly anticipated sequel.

A sequel hitting 90 percent would be a surprise, but not unprecedented. Toy Story 2 performed exceptionally well (100 percent rating) back in 1999.

Kalshi betting odds posted.
Kalshi betting odds posted. Kalshi

There have been some major duds at the box office for sequels, with Hangover Part 2 coming in at 34 percent and Sandler-led flick Grown Ups 2 getting a horrific seven percent.

It’s an honor that few movies have received in 2025, with just one comedy, baseball movie Eephus, achieving this distinction by scoring a 100 percent from the critics.

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.