We’re just a few weeks removed from the NFL draft, and the start of the 2023 regular season is more than three months away.

But it’s never too early to look for value in the preseason win totals market.

It’s an especially interesting exercise ahead of this season given the incredible level of parity we’ve seen in the league over the past few years.

Look no further than the 2022 season, when a whopping 16 teams finished with between seven and nine wins.

That’s quite literally half the league hovering around .500 across a full 17-game slate.

So, which teams will break out of the “middle” this year, or fall from the chasm of mediocrity?

Here are a few win total bets that have our attention in the months before the 2023 NFL season (totals and odds via FanDuel):

This number may feel generous on the surface for a team that hasn’t won eight games since 2017, but the Panthers quietly won seven games last year despite a revolving door at coach and quarterback.

Now the team has stability at both spots after hiring head coach Frank Reich and drafting quarterback Bryce Young this offseason.

Those two are surrounded by an elite cast of assistant coaches and a bevy of young roster talent that has long been saddled by lousy play under center.

If Young is even passable in Year 1, his presence should elevate a team that’s won at least five games in 12 straight seasons and should enjoy one of the easiest schedules in the league in 2023.

The Bears entered this offseason with the opposite problem of the Panthers: They had their quarterback, but they still needed to build a roster around him.

It’s hard to argue the team hasn’t taken important steps in that direction: Chicago spent nearly $100 million this offseason adding impact defenders and dynamic pass-catchers for Justin Fields.

The headliner was former Carolina star wideout D.J. Moore, who’s long been a superstar talent without a consistent passer to feed him.

There’s some risk here for a team putting it all together on the fly, but we’ve seen teams in recent years enjoy immediate success after a spending spree in free agency.

The Bears are primed to do just that, especially if Fields takes another big leap in his third season.

The Lions hype has gotten out of control, as we’ve written about in this very spot before.

So, naturally, I love the plus-money value on the under for a team with an exciting ceiling but a risky floor.

Let’s not forget that this team had one of the worst defenses in the league last year, and it’s already lost key pieces to an offense that ranked in the top five by most metrics in 2022.

That leaves a narrow margin of error for this team to build upon its 9-8 record from last season.

The Titans are an unmitigated disaster right now, and it’s somewhat surprising this team doesn’t own one of the lowest win totals on the entire board.

A year after trading A.J. Brown to save money on his looming extension, Tennessee cleaned house this offseason and have seemingly floated the idea of moving on from longtime stars Derrick Henry and Kevin Byard.

That’s to say nothing of the uncertain future of quarterback Ryan Tannehill, who seems primed to be a cap casualty before Week 1.

This team is hardly good enough to win eight games with all of those guys on the roster, as evidenced by their seventh-worst point differential (-61) in 2022.

Don’t be surprised if the Titans are vying for a top-five pick by season’s end.