Primetime games were a bad journey for Survivor players last week.
With the Rams, Bills and Chiefs all losing last week, we saw an obscene group of losses last week as 73.8 percent of entrants in the Circa Survivor Pool lost on the Rams and Cardinals alone.
Factor in the Bills (6.1 percent of entrants), Seahawks (1.3 percent), and more, and only 4,646 entries (out of 18,718) are remaining in the Circa conest that has a grand prize of $15 million.
Surely your pool is facing similar results, but we move on to Week 6.
If you’re still breathing to fight another week, you should have some good options.
| Confidence | Game/Team |
|---|---|
| 1 | Packers (-14) vs Bengals |
| 2 | Eagles (-7) @ Giants |
| 3 | Rams (-7.5) @ Ravens |
| 4 | Raiders (-4.5) vs. Titans |
| 5 | Broncos (-7.5) vs. Jets (London game) |
| 6 | Commanders (-4.5) vs. Bears |
| 7 | Colts (-4.5) vs Cardinals |
| 8 | Steelers (-5.5) vs Browns |
| 9 | Bills (-4.5) vs. Falcons |
| 10 | Patriots (-3.5) @ Saints |
| 11 | Chargers (-4.5) @ Dolphins |
| 12 | Cowboys (-3.5) @ Panthers |
Joe Flacco is in at quarterback for the Bengals, which could undoubtedly be a boon for Cincinnati and a bit of a hit for the Packers’ top slot among survivor picks.
Jake Browning looked like the worst quarterback in the NFL the last few weeks, throwing them out of games constantly.
Flacco, who hasn’t been good in his own right, should limit mistakes and get the ball to his playmakers a good bit.
My model has the Packers as 11-point favorites, so there are some options worth checking elsewhere.
The Eagles don’t throw the ball much and the Giants struggle to defend the run. Big Blue has the lowest DVOA rank against the run (32nd), and the Eagles have Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts running the ball.
The Giants are 1-6 in their past seven matchups against Philadelphia, with the lone win coming in a meaningless Week 17 game when the Eagles sat their entire roster.
Big Blue, whom I incorrectly picked to beat the Saints, impossibly beat themselves, and the data backs up that they are indeed that bad.
My model has the Eagles as 13-point favorites even in this road matchup.
If you’re feeling frisky, the hold onto your marbles play of the week is none other than the Las Vegas Raiders.
Geno Smith leads the NFL in interceptions and has looked like a shell of himself since getting to Sin City.
The Titans are pretty horrific in their own right, needing the Cardinals to fall apart and snag their first win.
The Titans are 25th in defensive DVOA and 31st against the run so, at least in theory, Ashton Jeanty can carry the Raiders to victory.
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.