Everyone has looked like a genius through three weeks of NFL Survivor pools.
Just 19.1 percent of entrants have been eliminated from the big Circa Survivor pool in Las Vegas, as favorites continue to dominate in the NFL.
The Packers, who were 7.5-point favorites against the Browns on Sunday, were the third-most selected team in the big-money contest, but they blew a 10-point fourth-quarter lead in a 13-10 loss.
An obscene 38 percent had a sweat-less Week 3 by taking the Seahawks over the Saints.
Ahead of Week 4, there are some serious favorites to run through and break down.
| Confidennce | Game/Team |
|---|---|
| 1 | Bills (-16.5) vs. Saints |
| 2 | Broncos (-7.5) vs. Bengals |
| 3 | Lions (-8.5) vs. Browns |
| 4 | Texans (-7.5) vs. Titans |
| 5 | Chargers (-6.5) @ Giants |
| 6 | Patriots (-5.5) vs. Panthers |
| 7 | Packers (-6.5) vs. Cowboys |
| 8 | Rams (-3.5) vs. Colts |
| 9 | 49ers (-3.5) vs. Jaguars |
| 10 | Dolphins (-2.5) vs. Jets |
The Saints appear to be on a collision course with the No. 1 overall pick in April.
With New Orleans lacking the necessary talent to compete at the highest level, Buffalo should have a cake-walk win.
Roughly 15 percent of entrants had the Bills last week as they narrowly took down the lowly Dolphins on “Thursday Night Football,” with Miami coach Mike McDaniel rallying his his troops despite a scorching hot seat.
If you’re one of the people who took the Bills already and are looking for other options, you should have some good ones this week.
Denver gave the Chargers everything they could handle last week in a narrow loss where Los Angeles needed to nail a last-second field goal to score a win.
If you’re willing to wait for Monday to make your pick, that could prove fruitful as Jake Browning looked every bit of a backup quarterback last week.
Browning embarrassed himself in a 48-10 loss to the Vikings last Sunday.
The Broncos’ defense will be anything but inviting to the Bengals, as Denver had the No. 4-ranked defense in football last year, according to Aaron Schatz’s DVOA.
They rank No. 14 this year, although it’s still early.
Expect between 17-20 percent of entries backing Denver at home at Mile High, and they are my favorite play of the week if you don’t have Buffalo available.
The Broncos are No. 1 in the NFL in net yards per play this season (yards per play minus yards per play allowed) despite being 1-2.
Meanwhile, the Bengals are last in that stat. It’s a tale of two teams on opposite ends.
Your hang-on-to-your-marbles pick of the week, the Houston Texans have looked awful, upstaged by only the league’s worst teams.
Could Tennessee upset them in this division game? Coach Brian Callahan might need it if he is going to save his job.
Houston is 23rd in yards per play (5.0), while Tennessee is last in the NFL (3.6).
If you’re willing to make the gutsy pick and go to Houston, you could come out with many strong options available later in the season.
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.