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NY Post
New York Post
23 Nov 2023


NextImg:NFL DFS Thanksgiving picks: CeeDee Lamb, Zach Charbonnet, Jahmyr Gibbs

We have a decent little three-game slate on tap for Thanksgiving. 

Let’s dive in and find some DFS winners on PrizePicks.

Lamb is in the middle of a sensational season.

His streak of 100-plus receiving-yard games was surprisingly snapped against the Panthers last week.

But Lamb still made his presence felt by scoring a touchdown during the onslaught.

He did receive nine targets from Dak Prescott, so it’s not like he wasn’t totally involved.

However, the Panthers are much worse against the run than the pass.

We even saw Tony Pollard score his first touchdown since Week 1 of the NFL season against them.

That’s not the same story for Thursday’s matchup against Washington, which is arguably the best get-right spot for any receiver in the NFL – especially an alpha like Lamb.

Washington has bottom-10 defense in YAC per reception and yards per target, while giving up the second-highest aDOT in the NFL.

The Commanders have been atrocious since the trade deadline when two of their best pass rushers were traded.

Lamb ranks 11th in target share and is part of a Dallas offense that has been passing way higher than expected since the team’s bye week. 

I like this Dallas passing attack to put on a Thanksgiving show at home for Jerry Jones.

CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb
Getty Images

Kenneth Walker is doubtful to play on Thursday, as we saw the rookie Charbonnet play 85% of the snaps last week. 

Charbonnet has now received 11 total targets across the last two weeks, which could be more than enough volume to surpass this number.

It’s no secret the 49ers have one of the best defenses in the NFL, but they are still giving up league-average target shares to players lined up in the backfield. 

Geno Smith is banged up, and a possible trailing game script with garbage time are two more scenarios that can help Charbonnett exceed this number.

David Montgomery came back two weeks ago, but Gibbs out-snapped him by a considerable margin. 

I thought we might see a ramp-up period for Montgomery, but last week proved differently, as we saw the same snap scenario play out again. That means we could finally be seeing an overdue changing of the guard at running back for the Lions.

Both running backs are very talented, but Gibbs is the dynamic game-changer of the two. Across the last two games for the Lions, Gibbs is second on the team in target share. 

Jared Goff was terrible last week, so I’m also anticipating some easy completions and checkdowns to get the ball rolling again.