Who is winning what?
Week 18 is about to come, and before we know it, it will be gone.
The final odds for all NFL Awards will be finalized, and it is essential to know as we head to the awards show just before the Super Bowl on Feb. 8, 2024.
Below, we break down the odds of each NFL award and include a few picks as well, with FTN CCO Mike Randle.
Votes, odds, and much more!
“I get it; it will be Lamar Jackson. He’s earned it… but I really think Tyreek Hill should be getting credit. He’s the only receiver in NFL history with back-to-back 1,700 yard seasons,” Randle said.
| Final 2024 NFL MVP odds |
|---|
| Lamar Jackson -10000 |
| Dak Prescott 18/1 |
| Brock Purdy 25/1 |
| Josh Allen 30/1 |
| Christian McCaffrey 40/1 |
| Tyreek Hill 100/1 |
At the end of the day, we can talk about this until blue in the face, but the reality is Jackson’s got this one on lock despite not truly having the stats to back him.
If Hill didn’t get injured it easily could’ve been him, but that injury ruined it and Jackson is your MVP.
There’s value here from a betting perspective if you can get it before Sunday.
“It has to be Hamlin, Erich,” Randle said. “I do give Joe Flacco an awful lot of credit and in any other situation [he probably gets it].”
| Damar Hamlin -275 | Joe Flacco +250 | Baker Mayfield 13/1 |
Through different parts of the year, Hamlin was -1000 and as Randle notes, “Hamlin got into games.”
Hamlin was a healthy scratch a few times but has played tons of special teams and has been mixing in some defensive stats.
| Christian McCaffrey -299 | Tyreek Hill +175 | CeeDee Lamb 20/1 |
It’s a wrong injury at the wrong time for Hill, and will cost him dearly.
“Christian McCaffrey, fantastic, the touchdowns, running, receiving, only about 1,500 yards, which is low for a running back.
“I just have a problem with the touchdowns; they are so non-sticky year-to-ear. I mention Jamaal Williams, who led the league in touchdowns last year. This year not doing much” Randle said. “Tyreek’s season has been so special, but he is just getting left in the cold here.”
It’ll be “Run CMC” this year as the Offensive Player of the Year.
| Myles Garrett -200 | Micah Parsons +300 | T.J. Watt +400 |
“Without the team having a dominant win, it hurts him [Micah Parsons],” Randle said on Defensive Player of the Year. “They should’ve lost to the Lions where Jared Goff went down the field.”
Parsons has had chances but the best player on the best defense is Garrett. He should win it.
| Final offensive Rookie of the Year odds |
|---|
| C.J. Stroud -1000 |
| Puka Nacua +450 |
| Sam LaPorta 150/1 |
| Jahmry Gibbs 200/1 |
If you squint your eyes, you can see Puka Nacua, who is about to break the rookie receiving record, be the Offensive Rookie of the Year.
“The market is not priced correctly,” Randle said. “Jahmyr Gibbs has come on strongly here, I think there’s value on Nacua, I absolutely think he can win. Yes, quarterbacks get it but suppose Stroud does not win this week and Nacua has another monster game sets the record.”
The reality is, the line is very wide here. And that’s not to say that Stroud won’t win, but -1000 is too aggressive at that price where if he loses and the Texans miss the playoffs, it will really hurt his case.
Meanwhile, Nacua’s body of work will likely be historic, +450 isn’t the worst bet on the board by any means.
| Jalen Carter -180 | Will Anderson Jr. +170 | Kobie Turner +600 |
This is where things get juicy.
BetMGM told The Post that some voters may have spilled the beans on this award.
“At the end of the season, voters may start to share who they are picking for awards. This can cause line movement, and the trading team will be monitoring news,”
The movement has seen the Defensive Rookie of the Year odds move Jalen Carter from -1000 to -180.
“Will Anderson is very live here, and you’re getting good value on him,” Randle said. “You can’t tell me that the Eagles not being able to stop Arizona at home in a game that they had to have didn’t hurt them a little bit.”
“This Eagles run defense, which was No. 1, can’t stop James Conner now,” Randle said.
I went deeper on this article in a separate piece, but Anderson might be the winner here, depending on when the voters submit their ballots. He has a primetime spot on Saturday night against the Colts to show why he’s worthy.
| Final NFL Coach of the Year odds |
|---|
| Kevin Stefanski -1000 |
| DeMeco Ryans +800 |
| Shane Steichen 12/1 |
| Dan Campbell 19/1 |
| John Harbaugh 22/1 |
| Sean McVay 50/1 |
| Kyle Shanahan 60/1 |
Here’s my official scorecard on NFL Coach of the Year.
- Kevin Stefanski
- DeMeco Ryans (pending a win on Saturday vs. Colts)
- Sean McVay/Dan Campbell
Randle doesn’t necessarily agree, and that’s OK; we’ll see what voters say, but the odds are clearly in Stefanski’s favor.
“One of the stories of the NFL has been the Lions,” he said.”I give Stefanski credit for overcoming everything that he did, I just think Detroit has delivered in a situation in a program that has been terrible for 30 years. He brought back respectability to Detroit.”
If Ryans loses on Saturday, he falls off the board and it’ll be McVay/Campbell at two and three.