There are only eight games on the schedule on Monday, and we are still waiting to hear who is going to start for the Tigers.
Since we don’t know all of the matchups in that game, we will focus on the other seven games for our picks.
I have my eye on projections for three different pitchers as well as a projection for one hitter that’s in a favorable matchup at home.
Let’s dive into the picks.
This number seems a tad inflated if you look at most projection systems, but the spot really sets up well for Paxton.
He has recorded at least eight strikeouts in three of his five starts this season and is facing a Rockies’ lineup that looks more like a AAA lineup than a major league lineup.
In fact, seven of Colorado’s projected starters have a strikeout rate of at least 29% against left-handed pitching.
On top of that, this is not an offense that takes a lot of pitches.
They have drawn the fifth fewest walks in baseball, which should help keep Paxton’s pitch count down throughout the game.
PrizePicks Deposit Match up to $100 On 1st Deposit with code NYPBONUS
Must be at least 18 years of age and within applicable state (AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, FL, GA, IL, KS, KY, MA, MI, MN, NE, NM, NY, NC, ND, OK, OR, RI, SC, SD, TX, UT, VT, VA, WI, WY, DC). Full Terms and Conditions apply.
Get 600,000 Fliff Coins + $100 Fliff Cash with code NYPOST
New Players 18+. Available in AK, AR, AZ, CA, CO, CT, DC, DE, FL, HI, IA, ID, IL, IN, KS, KY, MA, MD, ME, MI, MO, MT, NC, ND, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NY, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, VT, WI, WV. There are restrictions in AL, GA, ID, MN, MS, NV, SC, WA. Full Terms and Conditions apply.
Vivid Picks: Earn Up to a $100 Bonus with your first deposit using code NYPBONUS
First time deposits only. 18+. Must be located in eligible states (AK, AR, CA, FL, GA, IL, KS, KY, MA, MN, NE, NM, NC, ND, OK, OR, RI, SC, SD, TX, UT, VT, WI, WY, DC) for the duration of a contest. Full terms and conditions apply.
Instant Deposit Match up to $100 on First Deposit with code NYPBONUS
Must be at least 18 years of age and within applicable state (AL, AK, AR, CA, CO, FL, GA, IL, IN, KS, KY, ME, MA, MI, MN, MS, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OK, OR, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WI, WY). Full terms and conditions apply.
Boom Fantasy: Win $50 if Any Player in Your Entry Gains 1+ Yard! with code NYPNFL
New users only, 18+. AK, AR, CA, FL, GA, IL, KS, KY, MA, MI, MN, NE, NH, NM, NC, ND, OK, OR, RI, SC, SD, TX, UT, WI, WY, DC only. Full terms and conditions apply.
Get $250 Deposit Match + Free Concert Tickets with code NYPBONUS
First time deposits only. 18+. Must be located in eligible states (AK, AR, CA, CO, FL, GA, IL, KS, KY, ME, MA, MN, NE, NH, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, RI, SC, SD, TX, UT, WV, WI, WY) for the duration of a contest. Full terms and conditions apply.
Underdog Fantasy: Get a 100% Deposit Bonus up to $100 with code NYPBONUS
21+. New customers only. AL, AK, AR, CA, FL, GA, IL, IN, KS, ME, MN, MS, NE, NM, NY, NC, ND, OK, OR, RI, SC, SD, TX, UT, VT, VA, WI, WY, DC only. T&C apply
I’m sticking with the Red Sox here, as Devers gets to square off against Connor Seabold at home in the hitter-friendly Fenway Park.
Over the last two seasons, Seabold owns a 4.87 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 18%.
He’s a fly-ball pitcher that has allowed a .374 wOBA and a 31% hard contact rate to batters from the left side of the plate.
During that same timeframe, Devers has been one of the best hitters in baseball.
He boasts a .373 wOBA and a .274 ISO against right-handed pitching.
At RotoGrinders, we have him projected for 10.1 fantasy points.
Anderson is a respectable starter in the majors, but not one that gets the job done by striking out a bunch of batters.
Over the last two seasons, he’s had an 18% strikeout rate.
His strength is generating soft contact, not overwhelming hitters at the plate.
Tonight he has to go on the road to take on the Rangers, who are currently first in runs scored per game and a top five offense against left-handed pitching.
This offense hits for power and draws walks, which puts a lot of pressure on opposing pitchers.
I wouldn’t be surprised if this projection comes down as we get closer to the start of this game.
Kaprielian has made eight starts this season and has only gotten more than 15 pitching outs in two of them.
His walk rate (13%) is nearly as high as his strikeout rate (19%), and his xERA is sitting at 5.56 (the second-highest of any pitcher taking the mound tonight).
While pitching in Oakland always helps, he has to face one of the best offenses in baseball.
The Rays are second in runs scored per game and the best team on the slate in team wOBA against right-handed pitching.