Welcome back to another PrizePicks MLB Wednesday!

We have a pair of pitchers and two hitters to analyze, so let’s dive in.

Gonsolin has been available for most of the 2023 season, and with the numerous injuries LA’s rotation has dealt with, that’s all the Dodgers can ask for right now.

Gonsolin might just be profiled as an average major-league pitcher at this point. He’s sporting a fair 3.78 ERA, but his xERA is roughly a full run higher, and his FIP is more than 5.00.

Tony has struck out left-handed batters at a respectable 23% clip, but he owns just a 19% K rate against right-handed batters.

The Toronto lineup is littered with powerful right-handed batters, as RotoGrinders projects the Blue Jays to roll out at least six of them against him.

He’s been a bit more predictable across the last month, throwing his four-seam fastball roughly 45% of the time to hitters.

Predictability and pitching to contact do not pair well together.

Gonsolin has his work cut out for him against this stout American League lineup on Wednesday.

Bradish could be the most improved major leaguer that nobody outside of Baltimore is talking about.

His ERA is just about sub-3 and he hasn’t given up more than two earned runs during any start in about six weeks.

Bradish only walks 6% of hitters, has a very respectable K rate, and owns a 46% ground-ball rate.

His slider has been his pitch of choice across the last month – one that this Philly lineup has collectively struggled with this season.

I believe he’s in a good position to get through a fairly clean game and a chance at a quality start, which makes this number very attainable for him.

Lance Lynn is getting absolutely clobbered by left-handed hitters in 2023, yielding a 14% barrel rate, a .317 ISO, and a 50% hard-contact rate.

This sets up well for one of the hottest hitters in baseball, Cody Bellinger, who is speculated to be on the move at the trade deadline.

Bellinger is having one heck of a season and finally looks like that former MVP we all remember.

He’s hitting a career-high .314, striking out just 16% of the time, and has a dozen steals on his 2023 resume.

Bellinger also has the lowest 2023 ground-ball rate vs. right-handed pitchers in the Chicago projected lineup.

There are plenty of ways Bellinger could accumulate points in this matchup, and I think this number is a bit too low.

Give me the lefty-lefty matchup here. Tucker has been one of the best five hitters in baseball since the All-Star break. 

Opposing pitcher Andrew Heaney has been much more attackable with right-handed batters this season, but he’s still not fantastic against lefties.

He’s walking a putrid 19% of them, so not only should Tucker see favorable hitting counts, but he’s a serious threat to steal when he gets on base.

Despite holding left-handed hitters to respectable power metrics, Heaney is still yielding a 50% hard-contact rate to them, while Tucker owns a monstrous 68% hard-contact rate, a .235 ISO, and a 9% walk rate against left-handed pitchers.

Heaney doesn’t often go too deep into the game and the Texas bullpen has the fourth-worst ERA in baseball.

There are plenty of “outs” for Tucker to get us where we need to be in this matchup.