


We’re back for another PrizePicks MLB Wednesday.
There are plenty of games scattered throughout the day, but let’s focus on some action in the evening window.
Time to dive in!
Throughout his career, Castillo has proven to pitch better later in the season.
You’ll have to look back over a month to find a game where Castillo struck out less than six hitters in any game.
Additionally, the Seattle ace has one of the longest leashes in baseball, having thrown 100-plus pitches in five straight starts.
The Royals have some fun young hitters, but they’re projected to start five players with strikeout rates north of 22 percent against right-handed pitchers in 2023.
While that may not be egregiously bad, it’s still a good enough matchup where I feel comfortable backing Castillo to get the job done based on his track record.
Kremer is enjoying a fairly successful season for the Orioles.
He’s earned 11 wins and has been hot in the second half, yielding no more than two earned runs in five of his seven starts since July 1.
However, that doesn’t mean he’s striking out batters in bunches.
Kremer has struck out 21 percent of batters this season, but that number has dropped significantly across the last 30 days to 16.8 percent.
With Gary Sanchez out of the projected lineup, the Padres are projected to start five batters with K rates less than 20 percent this season.
It’s not the end of the world if Sanchez ends up playing, as his strikeout rate has surprisingly dipped five percent compared to last season.
This is an extremely tough matchup for Kremer, one day after the Padres lit up Jack Flaherty at Petco.

The Yankees need a jolt and I’m not sure Randy Vasquez will provide that against the best team in baseball.
Vasquez has struck out just 15 percent of hitters (12.5 percent of lefties), while yielding a 48% hard-contact rate and struggling to keep the ball on the ground.
It’s pretty simple to me. Olson’s biggest issue is swinging and missing, but Wednesday he gets to dance with a high-contact pitcher.
Olson owns an absolutely ridiculous .360 ISO and a 75 percent hard-contact rate against right-handed pitchers this season.
The ball should be in play throughout the Atlanta lineup, which should give the Braves lefty plenty of RBI chances Wednesday.
James McArthur is the tentative opener for Kansas City and that’s good news for Rodriguez.
McArthur has been uninspiring as a pro and equally unimpressive in the minors, sporting a 5.92 ERA between two Triple-A affiliates this season.
Rodriguez may only get on at-bat vs. McArthur (and that might be all he needs), but then he gets to face a terrible bullpen. Kansas City owns the second-worst ERA and WHIP in MLB this season.
I like the fact that Seattle is on the road in this matchup, which makes it more than likely that J-Rod gets a fifth opportunity at the dish Wednesday evening.