Happy Monday, everyone.
The weather is getting warmer, the days are getting longer, and the baseball schedule is in full swing.
There are a total of 11 games on the schedule tonight, and they all start at 6:10 PM ET or later, so we have plenty of projections to choose from on PrizePicks.
I have narrowed it down to my four favorite picks for tonight’s slate.
It hasn’t been the best run for Sale over the last few years, but he looks like he still has some gas left in the tank.
He’s coming off of an outing against the Twins, where he struck out 11 batters and only gave up three hits.
Allowing too many home runs has been the big issue, but that’s not a concern for this particular selection.
All we care about is strikeouts, and since the start of last season, Sale has had a 31% strikeout rate and a 12% swinging strike rate.
Tonight he squares off against the Orioles, who have struggled against southpaws.
In their projected lineup for this game, eight of Baltimore’s batters have a strikeout rate of at least 23% against left-handed pitching.
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Bassitt is off to a slow start this season, but that could be the move to the American League.
He’s coming from one of his best seasons in the majors, so I like his chances to figure it out sooner rather than later.
His kryptonite has been left-handed hitters, and he won’t have to face many of them tonight, as the White Sox have six right-handed hitters in their projected lineup.
Bassitt is pitching at home, he has a 22% strikeout rate since the start of last season, and this is a good matchup for strikeouts.
Asking for five punchouts doesn’t seem like too tall of a task.
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The Angels might have the best matchup of any team taking the field tonight.
Ken Waldichuk hasn’t fared well in his 11 major league starts the last two seasons.
During that stretch, he’s racked up a 4.49 SIERA with a low strikeout rate.
He’s a fly-ball pitcher that gives up a decent number of walks.
The 8.5 hitter fantasy score shouldn’t be too difficult for Trout, as his numbers against southpaws over the last two seasons are off the charts – .433 wOBA, .311 ISO, and a 14% walk rate.
At RotoGrinders, we have him projected for more than 14 fantasy points using the PrizePicks scoring system.
There are 22 teams in action tonight; believe it or not, Carroll has the third highest hitter projection at RotoGrinders.
Since the start of the 2022 season, he owns a .369 wOBA and a .260 ISO against right-handed pitching.
His only weakness is a high strikeout rate, which shouldn’t be an issue in tonight’s matchup.
Brad Keller has one of the lowest strikeout rates of any starting pitcher in baseball. It’s also worth noting that Keller has a 10% walk rate.
This is a high floor type of matchup for Carroll, especially with this game being in Arizona.
You can follow Derek Farnsworth on Twitter @RG_Notorious