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NY Post
New York Post
22 Jul 2023


NextImg:Mets vs. Red Sox prediction: MLB odds, picks, best bets

Are the Mets turning it around? The team has looked better in July, especially the rotation.

Max Scherzer takes the mound at Fenway on Saturday. But water tends to find its level.

So, I’m selling high on Scherzer and the Mets in Boston.

Scherzer dominated the Dodgers in his most recent outing, but he posted a 5.63 ERA in the seven starts prior.

Are we sure he’s fixed? I have my doubts.

(2:10 p.m. ET for the completion of suspended game, 7:10 p.m. for second game)

Meanwhile, we can buy low on the Red Sox, who should bounce back after losing a series to the Athletics.

I expect a lineup boost back at Fenway after the road trip, especially if Rafael Devers is back.

We can also buy low on Boston starting pitcher James Paxton.

James Paxton

James Paxton
Getty Images

He allowed six earned against the Cubs in his last outing, but four came on one bad pitch, a Cody Bellinger grand slam.

He posted a sub-2.00 ERA in the seven starts before that.

The Mets have the fifth-worst OPS against left-handed pitching over the past month (.639), so the left-handed Paxton has a good matchup.

Meanwhile, the Red Sox have a top-five OPS over the past two weeks (.844).

Also, Boston has a monster late-inning advantage, given the Mets’ bullpen mess.

Over the past two weeks, the Red Sox have a 2.79 bullpen ERA, while the Mets stand at 4.50.

Red Sox moneyline (-110, BetMGM)