Tyrod Taylor starts for the Jets on Sunday.

Even the most skeptical of bettors out there will undoubtedly have a tough time wagering their hard-earned money on the Jets here.

The spread for this game opened at Jets +7.5 back in August and was 6.5 as of Monday.

When Justin Fields was announced out for Sunday with a concussion, the line surprisingly did not drop on Wednesday.

Sportsbooks don’t see much of a difference between Taylor and Fields, but I do.

Taylor has played pretty well in mop-up duty for the Jets, recording an impressive 72.7 percent completion percentage in three games played.

The Buccaneers certainly have their own injuries to worry about; Emeka Egbuka practiced on Friday and is designated as questionable.

If Egbuka is cleared, he — alongside Mike Evans and Bucky Irving — could help the Buccaneers beat up on a Jets team that allowed a vintage stat line to Aaron Rodgers.

My model has a projected score of this game at 22.56 to 17.52, so there’s some value on the Jets here, but I am unwilling to place a wager on a Taylor-led offense.

Instead, I’ll target the under in this game.

The projected total has this game 40.08, giving us a strong value signal on the under 43.5 for this game.

Moreover, I suspect a conservative approach from the Jets that includes a steady diet of Braelon Allen as well as Breece Hall, with Taylor mixing in some designed runs.

Bet on Taylor to not throw an interception (-133, DraftKings) as well as the under in this game.

THE PLAYS: Tyrod Taylor to not throw an interception (-133, DraftKings) | Under 43.5 (-110, bet365)

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.