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NY Post
New York Post
1 Apr 2023

NextImg:FAU vs. San Diego State prediction: March Madness Final Four odds

I never thought picking one Final Four team correctly would be something to brag about.

Gametime: 6:07 p.m. Eastern


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Don’t believe the hype. The Owls are a more logical Final Four participant.

They have the balance of top-30 units on each end of the floor, a rotation that goes nine deep, a collection of shooters hitting more than 37 percent of 3-pointers, the consistency that’s produced 35 wins and only two losses since Nov. 11.

The Aztecs are the higher seed, the more established program with the more experienced roster, but lacking the most important quality of a championship team — scoring.

Florida Atlantic star Nick Boyd
Getty Images

A group that ranks outside the top 200 in the nation in true shooting percentage has looked the part in its Final Four run, with San Diego State’s lone player averaging double-digit points, Matt Bradley, shooting 6-for-27 over the past three games.

An elite defense allowed the Aztecs to advance, but luck deserves as much credit.

Alabama (3-for-27 on 3-pointers) and Creighton (2-for-17) couldn’t shoot worse in 100 more matchups. The Crimson Tide struggled with pressure. The Bluejays didn’t have the depth.

Neither will be a problem for the Owls, who will enjoy their familiar role as an underdog — like three of their previous four games — and already took down a bigger and more dominant defense in the Sweet 16 against Tennessee.

It may seem strange that a No. 9 seed will be one win from the national championship game, but it would be more bizarre historically if the Aztecs’ unwatchable offense had the opportunity.