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Action Network’s Charlie Disturco gives his best bet for this highly anticipated 5-12 matchup:
Despite favor from Vegas bookmakers, who set the line at just 3.5 points, I hold a different perspective on Michigan State’s chances. While their performance against Mississippi State showcased promise, it’s crucial not to succumb to recency bias. Looking back over the past month reveals Michigan State’s vulnerabilities, with losses against non-tournament teams like Iowa, Ohio State, and Indiana. Contrastingly, UNC boasts a more consistent track record, having lost only once – to NC State in the ACC Final.
In this matchup, North Carolina’s size advantage, particularly with Bacot’s dominant presence inside, poses a significant threat. Michigan State’s reliance on perimeter players leaves them vulnerable to Bacot’s prowess. Additionally, Michigan State’s Carson Cooper lacks the athleticism and talent to contend with Bacot effectively.
Considering the Spartans’ struggles in the paint against Mississippi State and the formidable matchup between Tyson Walker and RJ Davis, it’s evident that UNC holds the edge in talent. With such factors in play, the current line seems underestimated for UNC’s potential as they advance to the Sweet 16.
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