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NY Post
New York Post
18 Jul 2023


NextImg:College Football predictions: Why UConn is being undervalued

College football season is still six weeks away, but now is the time to find value in the futures market.

One team getting little respect heading into the season is Connecticut.

The Huskies went a surprising 6-7 last season but has a win total of just 4.5 at Caesars. 

When handicapping season win totals, two things I always look at are returning production and the schedule.

Experienced teams are more likely to play well early in the year.

It’s impossible to predict outcomes, but I look for “winnable games.” 

UConn checks both of those boxes.

UConn Huskies running back Robert Burns (30) celebrates

UConn Huskies running back Robert Burns (30) celebrates
Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The Huskies return 17 starters and, more importantly, 46 lettermen, from last year’s bowl team.

Not only does UConn have experience in its starting 22, but the Huskies also have quality depth to overcome inevitable injuries.

Jim Mora has done an excellent job building UConn’s overall talent level.

However, the Huskies’ manageable schedule is the real key to the bet.

UConn plays 10 winnable games this season, with six coming at home. 

On paper, only matchups against NC State and Tennessee should be considered automatic losses.

Jim Mora head coach of the Connecticut Huskies

Jim Mora head coach of the Connecticut Huskies
Getty Images

The Huskies other opponents are Georgia State, FIU, Duke, Utah State, Rice, USF, Boston College, James Madison, Sacred Heart and UMass.

That should be good enough for at least five wins. 

The betting market is sleeping on UConn.

The combination of returning talent and a favorable schedule will have the Huskies bowling for a second straight season. UConn should easily cash over 4.5 wins.

THE PLAY: UConn Over 4.5 wins (-145, Caesars)