Iowa offensive coordinator Brian Ferentz needs his offense to average 25 points per game to cash his $112,500 contract bonus incentive.

This Saturday will provide his final chance to run up the score against an inferior Group of 5 team.

Western Michigan is totally rebuilding under first-year head coach Lance Taylor and have returned only two defensive starters from last season.

Inexperienced is the only way to describe the Broncos.

Despite their limitations, Cade McNamara and the Hawkeyes should score against a MAC defense that allowed 48 points and an 80 percent success rate to Syracuse last week, especially considering Ferentz’s motivational angle.

Meanwhile, I’m betting Western Michigan will get shut out.

The quarterback room is among the nation’s worst, and any valuable skill-position players left the program in the offseason.

They managed one score and a 22 percent success rate last week and now play a Hawkeyes defense that’s ranked top-six in Defensive SP+ for six consecutive seasons.

I smell a 35-0 victory. Hawkeye coach Kirk Ferentz is 2-0 ATS as a four-touchdown-or-more favorite in his career, for what it’s worth.

The pick: Iowa -28.5.

Tennessee has lost 10 straight games in The Swamp. Gainsville is cursed ground for Rocky Top Faithful.

The Volunteers are vulnerable here again. Tennessee’s passing attack looks inconsistent under Joe Milton.

The Vols managed just 224 passing yards against FCS foe Austin Peay last week, a concerning performance.

Florida’s defense has holes, but Billy Napier should stack the box, take away the run and force Milton to beat him through the air.

That’ll be tough for an inconsistent quarterback in a hostile environment.

Meanwhile, Florida played better against Utah than the final score indicates.

Graham Mertz went 31-for-44 for 333 yards, and he’ll be facing a Vols secondary that finished sub-100 nationally in Pass EPA per play allowed last year.

If the talented Montrell Johnson-Trevor Etienne running back duo starts clicking, the Gators will feature a more balanced attack that can control the clock as moderate home ’dogs.

Coach Napier is 17-5 ATS as an underdog in his career, covering the spread by an eight-PPG margin. He should cover again here.

Michael Penix and the Huskies are third nationally in success rate and ninth in points per game (49.5).

They destroyed a solid MWC defense in Week 1, beating Boise State 56-19 and putting Penix firmly in the Heisman Trophy conversation (alongside explosive wideout Rome Odunze).

This high-flying offense now faces a Spartan team in shambles following the dismissal of Mel Tucker.

Payton Thorne and a young receiving core are exceeding expectations.

Still, they won’t keep it close against one of college football’s most dynamic offenses, especially considering the off-the-field issues.

I was low on Michigan State already.

The offensive line is strong, but there’s little talent across the rest of the roster.

Last week: 1-2. Texas (W), North Carolina State (L), Rutgers (L).

2023 season: 3-3.