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NY Post
New York Post
12 Oct 2023


NextImg:Chiefs vs. Broncos prediction: Best bet is the total on ‘Thursday Night Football’

The NFL’s premier quarterback piloting its most dynamic offense against a Denver dumpster fire: At least this lopsided narrative will keep video editors busy on highlight-reel footage. 

It’s hard to imagine a game in which the Chiefs will struggle to move the chains as they rank fifth in expected points (48.7) and yards per play (5.8).

They face a Broncos team on short rest that is dead last in yards and points allowed. 

The Broncos are exceptionally poor in defending against both the pass and run, so name a Chiefs player on offense and Patrick Mahomes (who averaged 340 air yards versus Denver in 2022) is primed to serve him — even with Travis Kelce’s injury scare last week.

Speaking of Kelce, Denver’s secondary offers 114.2 yards after catch on completions each game.

Scoring hasn’t been the issue for Denver as it quietly ranks as a top-10 offense.

Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson
Getty Images

The Broncos are scoring on almost 40 percent of their drives and Russell Wilson isn’t as bad as the results are saying.

He has amassed a healthy 242-yard average with a 106.1 passer rating heading into a matchup that invited him to six total scores last year.

The 70-20 loss to Miami tainted their numbers, but the Broncos have competed to within one or two possessions in all their other games while also gaining 5.8 yards per play.

When the lines opened, oddsmakers had this total set astronomically high, but enough points have been shaved since to feel more comfortable. 

The Chiefs should carry enough weight on the scoreboard while Denver’s desperation to stave off embarrassment at Arrowhead propels this game over the points hurdle. 

The play: Broncos-Chiefs over 46.5 points (-115, FanDuel Sportsbook)