After a breakout Week 1, Keon Coleman’s sophomore season has been a dud. 

The Florida State product caught eight passes for 112 yards with a touchdown during the Bills’ thrilling season-opening win over the Ravens, leaving many to believe Josh Allen may have finally found a WR1 to replace the hole Stefon Diggs left. 

That hasn’t been the case since. 

Coleman has tallied just 16 receptions and 114 yards through the air in the four games since his career-best game against Baltimore. 

As is typical of Allen, the Bills’ quarterback has spread the ball around much more than he did during that game, peppering Khalil Shakir, Dalton Kincaid and Josh Palmer in the spread-it-around pass attack that has become familiar in Buffalo. 

Not only is Coleman getting fewer targets, but he’s not flashing that big-play ability that he flashed during his rookie season. 

Since Week 1, Coleman doesn’t have a reception longer than 20 yards.  

I’m not expecting any sort of rebound from Coleman on Monday against the Falcons, who have been ridiculously good against the pass so far this season. 

Atlanta is allowing 135 passing yards per game and 5.2 passing yards per attempt through the first five weeks of 2025, both of which are the fewest in the NFL. 

Oddsmakers are still holding out hope for Coleman, pegging his receiving yard over/under at 42.5. 

He’s gone well under this number in three of his last four games, barely going over with 45 yards through the air against the Saints two weeks ago. 

Bet him to have a quiet night once again.

The play: Keon Coleman to have fewer than 42.5 receiving yards (-120, BetMGM Sportsbook)

Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.