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Georgia State’s offense relies heavily on the ground game and currently ranks 54th in SP+, which is a commendable position for a Group of Five team. However, their defensive performance leaves much to be desired, as it languishes at 113th, an underwhelming standing for any program.

Head coach Shawn Elliott has a history of orchestrating potent ground attacks, and this year’s team is no exception. Grainger, their quarterback, has long been recognized as one of the best running quarterbacks in the G5, but he has also shown improvement in his passing game this season.

While their rushing efficiency may not be stellar, the Panthers make up for it by consistently delivering explosive plays on the ground. Although they rank only 118th in Success Rate for running plays, they shine in generating big plays, securing the fifth spot in explosiveness. They methodically chip away at opposing defenses until they break through for a substantial gain.

Grainger is poised for another impressive performance, as Georgia State boasts a strong passing game, ranking among the top third of FBS teams in explosive pass plays (35th). In contrast, Coastal Carolina’s secondary struggles to prevent such plays, occupying the 111th position in this regard.

On the defensive side, Georgia State has encountered difficulties. Their lineup faced significant losses due to graduation and transfers, resulting in a 129th ranking in defensive TARP. The newly formed defense has faced challenges, currently standing at 130th in terms of explosives allowed.

Efficiency may not define Georgia State’s style of play in Conway. Tim Beck’s squad sits at 87th in Success Rate, but Coastal Carolina has a knack for scoring from various positions on the field, earning them the 16th spot nationally in explosiveness. Conversely, Georgia State’s defense struggles in this aspect, ranking 130th in explosives allowed.

Coastal Carolina’s McCall is surrounded by a talented ensemble of players. Their running back corps is deep, featuring veterans like Reese White, Braydon Bennett, and CJ Beasley, who all share the rushing load. Furthermore, the wide receiver combination of Sam Pinckney, a Georgia State transfer, and Jared Brown is one of the most formidable duos at this level.

Coastal’s defense has shown improvement compared to last year’s subpar performance, advancing from 108th in defensive SP+ to a more respectable 76th position.

Georgia State embraces a fast-paced style of play, and Coastal Carolina will be eager to face a program of similar caliber after navigating a schedule with varying levels of competition.

The anticipation is high for an action-packed matchup, characterized by explosive plays, and the prospect of the total surpassing 62 points is an exciting one.

Pick: Over 62

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