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Andrew Heaney’s sole appearance in the 2023 postseason occurred during Game 1 of the ALDS against the Orioles, in which he performed admirably, completing 3 2/3 innings, accounting for 11 outs, conceding two hits, and allowing a solitary earned run.
However, it’s important to note that despite his commendable performance, the Rangers adhered to a specific strategy, ensuring that Heaney didn’t face more than 14 batters. Looking ahead to Game 4 and considering how the Astros are likely to arrange their lineup, it’s probable that Heaney will once again have a stringent cap of 14 batters.
In the event that Yordan Alvarez occupies the third batting position and Kyle Tucker is slated for the fifth spot, it’s reasonable to assume that the managerial approach, likely orchestrated by Bruce Bochy, will permit Heaney to navigate through the lineup only once. Should the game progress favorably, he might even encounter Alvarez and Tucker for a second time.
In the best-case scenario, an efficient performance could see Heaney exceed this number by securing 12 outs within the scope of 14 batters. However, if the situation evolves to the point where the top of the fourth inning arrives with right-handed Houston batters poised to bat and runners on base beyond Tucker, it’s a plausible scenario that Bochy will initiate a lineup change. This could involve summoning a high-leverage right-handed reliever or employing his piggyback partner, Dane Dunning.
It’s worth noting that the Astros’ lineup has demonstrated prowess against left-handed pitching for several seasons, owing to the competence of their left-handed batters when confronting pitchers of the same hand, coupled with the exceptional hitting abilities of their leading right-handed hitters. While Heaney possesses impressive pitching abilities, his susceptibility to home runs places him at a considerable risk of providing extended innings in this context.
Pick: Under 9 -105
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