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We have ourselves a rematch of Game 1 as Nathan Eovaldi will face off against Zac Gallen. However, this time, the Arizona Diamondbacks season is on the line, and things should fare much better for these two starters this time.

Eovaldi had it all working early in Game 1 as he was spotting his fastball and tumbling his splitter below the zone. That combo led to him racking up eight strikeouts in just over four innings of work.
While Arizona made adjustments after the first time through the order, Eovaldi is due for positive regression against this lineup. In 63 combined at-bats, the Diamondbacks have hit .302 but have done so with an average exit velocity of 89.5 mph and an average launch angle of 7.6 degrees.

That low quality of contact will play in Eovaldi’s favor, and that is shown by Arizona’s xBA of .246.
The same goes for Zac Gallen against the Texas Rangers lineup. Gallen’s command was not sharp early in Game 1, and eventually finished with four walks, but he settled down and was able to limit the damage through five innings of work.

We should expect his success to continue early in this start if he can locate early on. The Rangers have racked up 101 at-bats against Gallen and have gotten the better of him by hitting .277.

However, they’ve been extremely fortunate with those 28 hits. Texas has an average exit velocity of just 88.2 mph and an average launch angle of 7.3 against Gallen.
Add in the fact that they have also struck out 27.1 percent of the time, and it’s easy to see a path for Gallen’s success.

So, look for both these starters to make quick work of these lineups, as they will each generate strikeouts while having the many ground balls find gloves in Game 5.

Pick: Under 4.5 -110