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The Texas Tech Red Raiders exhibit a notable defensive prowess, ranking 13th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, while their offensive efficiency stands at 99th. They strategically control the pace, particularly advantageous in close contests.
However, their Achilles’ heel lies in three-point shooting, registering a dismal 27.4% from beyond the arc this season. Despite this, players like Devan Cambridge, Darrion Williams, and Pop Isaacs displayed promising outside shooting last season.
The primary concern for the Red Raiders is their ranking of 188th in Open 3 Rate, suggesting a tendency to take the wrong three-point shots. Conversely, they excel at driving to the rim, ranking 57th in points per possession.
On the other side, Butler struggles with offensive and defensive rebounding, ranking 275th and 201st, respectively. In contrast, Texas Tech boasts solid rebounding stats, ranking 92nd offensively and 89th defensively. Noteworthy players include Warren Washington, averaging eight boards per game. While Butler could exploit turnovers, they rank 164th in defensive turnover rate, whereas Texas Tech ranks 248th offensively. Despite Butler’s solid defense, their vulnerabilities in defending the rim and three-point shots align well with Texas Tech’s strengths.
Considering these factors, the Red Raiders, with their defensive edge, rebounding ability, and potential for improved three-point shooting, appear poised for success in this matchup.
Pick: Texas Tech -1.5 -110
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