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We go from the mound to the dish, where Matt Chapman offers some value against Sonny Gray. Gray has, in a large part, dominated this Blue Jays lineup, but Chapman is the one guy who’s seen the ball pretty well.
Chapman is 3-for-8 with one homer and two strikeouts against Gray.
What’s interesting is that he has an average exit velocity of 90 mph and an average launch angle of 13.7 degrees off of Gray, which points to him likely finding extra bases when putting the ball in play.
Let’s not forget that Chapman is also coming off of a career-best season in terms of contact metrics. He was tied for the league lead in hard-hit rate (with Aaron Judge) while also finishing in the top five in barrel rate and average exit velocity.
So, on top of a solid matchup, we’re also getting some substantial line value as well. Chapman went over this total in 63% of the games he played in this season, which gives us implied odds of -170.
Back Chapman to tally one in the hit column.
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