The Milwaukee Brewers will look to clinch their series with the struggling New York Mets. See how our expert is playing the matchup, and be sure to make the game better by claiming a great offer from BetMGM.
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The Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets, both struggling offensively, are set to face each other once again on Thursday. Adrian Houser will be on the mound for the Brewers, while Max Scherzer takes the mound for the Mets.
At first glance, it may seem like Scherzer and the Mets have the advantage over the Brewers. However, Houser has been equally, if not more, impressive in recent outings.
In June, Houser has maintained a solid 3.94 ERA across 16 innings pitched. While he has had a couple of rough starts this season, overall he has been one of the more reliable pitchers in Milwaukee’s rotation. His performance ranks him in the middle of the league in Average Exit Velocity and Hard Hit Rate. He rarely allows barrels and has an above-average walk rate. Although he may not be a flashy pitcher, he has the ability to put together a strong outing.
On the other hand, Scherzer currently holds a 3.95 ERA, slightly higher than his 3.45 xERA, indicating potential positive regression. However, it’s worth noting that he is experiencing the highest Average Exit Velocity, Hard Hit Rate, and Barrel Rate of his career. Additionally, he has posted a 4.50 ERA over 30 innings in June.
Both bullpens have struggled this month. Milwaukee’s bullpen has a 4.59 xFIP, while New York’s bullpen has a slightly worse 4.74 xFIP. However, Scherzer is expected to pitch deep into the game, which could offset some of the concerns regarding the Mets’ bullpen.
Considering these factors, the line for the Mets and Scherzer seems too inflated. It may be a good opportunity to back Milwaukee.
Pick: Brewers +160
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