The Milwaukee Brewers will make the trip to Queens to begin a series with the struggling New York Mets. See how our expert is playing the matchup, and be sure to make the game better by claiming a great offer from BetMGM.

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Despite possessing the highest payroll in baseball, the New York Mets have struggled, winning only 5 out of their last 20 games. This slump has caused them to fall to fourth place in the NL East, trailing the Atlanta Braves by 15 games. Starting the season with the fourth-best odds to win the World Series, the Mets now find themselves seven games below .500, leading to a loss of faith among a significant portion of their fanbase.

Due to injuries to key pitchers such as Brandon Woodruff, Wade Miley, and Eric Lauer, the Milwaukee Brewers have been forced to rely on Colin Rea in their rotation. Rea, who made only one MLB appearance in 2021, spent the previous season playing in Japan. Despite signing a Minor League contract with Milwaukee during the recent offseason, Rea has already made 12 starts for the team, posting a 4.88 ERA and a 4.28 xERA, which places him in the lower half of the league in several statistical categories.

Injuries hindered the start of his tenure in New York, and in his nine starts, Rea has a record of 2-4 with a 4.50 ERA. While his 3.88 xERA provides some hope, his strikeout rate has significantly dropped, reaching a career low. His fastball velocity has also decreased, allowing opponents to make solid contact. As a result, Rea ranks in the bottom 20% of the league in hard-hit rate and the bottom 15% in average exit velocity.

Both Rea and the Mets’ starters have struggled in recent outings, conceding at least four runs in three of their last five starts. Adding to the challenges are two struggling bullpens, with the Milwaukee Brewers ranking 23rd in reliever xFIP and the New York Mets ranking 25th.

Despite the offensive struggles for both teams, this matchup presents an opportunity for them to generate solid contact, put the ball in play, and potentially score runs.

Pick: Over 8.5

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