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At home this season, the Chargers have maintained an average of 26.2 points per game while operating at the second-fastest pace of play in the league during the initial halves of games. The strategic use of Justin Herbert’s no-huddle approach has proven effective in keeping opposing defenses in predictable sets, preventing defensive linemen substitutions and mitigating the impact of pass rushers. This tactical choice is anticipated to be employed once again in this upcoming game.

Moreover, I anticipate Lions offensive coordinator Ben Johnson to unveil numerous shot plays following the bye week. Despite the Chargers’ 23rd-ranked defense by DVOA, showing increased strength against the run, they still struggle, ranking 31st in yards allowed per first down. The Lions’ offensive prowess on first down, averaging 6.6 yards per play and securing the third position in the NFL, is expected to keep quarterback Jared Goff in favorable down-and-distance situations.

Favorable playing conditions, an accelerated pace of play, and the Chargers’ defensive challenges in getting stops contribute to my prediction that this game will surpass the total score.

Pick: Maryland ML -125

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