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I don’t like to start a play off by touting an intangible as a factor, but it’s the truth. Bryce Harper has been the guy for the Phillies in October for the past two seasons.
Last season, he hit .349 with six homers and 13 RBI in 17 games. This postseason, he’s hitting .316 with five homers and eight RBI. If the Phillies are going to win this game, there’s a good chance he’s a big part of the offensive output.
In addition to that, Harper and the Phillies will be getting their second look at Brandon Pfaadt in this series after he dominated them in Game 3. Plus, for all the Phillies’ struggles in that matchup, Harper was just one of two Phillies not to strike out against Pfaadt, and his average exit velocity of 92 mph suggests that he may be due for a hit as the sample size increases tonight.
Lastly, we’re getting solid line value on this over. Harper has gone over this total in 59 percent of games played this season, which gives us implied odds of -144.
Pick: Bryce Harper over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI -115
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