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The Yankees hold the second-lowest team batting average in baseball, and a big reason why is that they are last in BABIP.
New York does not have much behind Judge, Torres, and Stanton. The other six spots in the lineup have not made consistent hard contact and, in turn, have failed to provide much run support for a thin starting rotation.
Getting into this matchup, Yusei Kikuchi will benefit from facing this version of the Yankees as he’s allowed hard contact, but only when hitters have put the ball in play. Kikuchi is a strike thrower who has proven he can finish hitters off when getting ahead, and he has the potential to rack up strikeouts against this green Yankees lineup.
New York is 12th in team strikeout rate, and their inability to make Kikuchi work will allow him to work deep into this game.
Backing Kikuchi is the strongest angle in this matchup. While he can get into trouble, Kikuchi has the strikeouts to work out of it and give the Jays the length they need more often than not.
He has gone at least five innings in 20 of his 29 starts this season, which gives us implied odds of -222 that he will hit the five-inning mark in this start. Fortunately, Kikuchi’s pitching outs prop is set at 14.5, which means he needs to complete five innings to cash the ticket.
What’s even better is that there is exceptional line value as the current price, as we know the odds are in our favor here. So, back Kikuchi to work deep into this game.
Pick: Yusei Kikuchi over 14.5 pitching outs -145
You can use your traditional BetMGM bonus offer on Tuesday’s matchup, let’s review how it ensures success.
So, suppose you deposit $500 and bet it all on KIkuchi’s over in today’s matchup at BetMGM.
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This KY promotional offer remains valid until the Kentucky go-live date. However, it cannot be combined with any other BetMGM promotion, such as the Deposit Match offer.
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