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The Big Game is a prop-betting extravaganza, and there is a glaring edge on the San Francisco quarterback. Brock Purdy deserves a ton of credit for getting the 49ers to this point, but he is not likely to be leaned on in this matchup.
San Francisco has a significant edge on the ground and will likely lean on Christian McCaffrey. So that only adds to a big statistical trend that we’ve seen this season.
Purdy averages 28.6 pass attempts but has gone 30.5 pass attempts in 13 of 18 games this season. That hit rate presents a massive edge in implied probability.
The 72 percent hit rate equates to -257 implied odds, which is tremendous value on the current line.
Pick: Purdy under 30.5 pass attempts -110
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