The San Diego Padres have started the second half off hot and need to keep rolling if they want to get back into the playoff picture. See how our expert is playing their matchup on Friday and be sure to make the game even better by claiming a great offer from BetMGM.

BetMGM’s offer lets new customers can get up to $1,000 in bonus bets back if their first bet does not win. That means you’ll get refunded in bonus bets equal to whatever you lost, up to $1,000. Be sure to use the bonus code NPBONUS to claim this offer.

While the action on the diamond dominates Friday’s slate, if those markets are not to your liking, you can use the BetMGM offer for any sport and market of your choosing. Just follow this link to get started, and remember to use the BetMGM bonus code NPBONUS when signing up.

the Padres have another decent matchup today when they face Reese Olson. Olson is a slider-heavy pitcher who relies on creating soft contact.

However, typically someone who has a sinker-slider arsenal would generate ground balls, but Olson actually has an above-average Fly Ball Rate. While that is not a bad idea in spacious Comerica Park, it may lead to line drives, especially against the top of this Padres order.

Olson has excellent command and relies on hitters getting themselves out by swinging at pitches outside the zone. He ranks in the 86th percentile in Chase Rate, but the Padres are the perfect counter as they have the fifth-lowest Team Chase Rate in baseball.

If the Padres can lay off the sliders that bend out of the zone, they will set themselves up for fastballs in hitters’ counts. Olson’s fastball is due to be hit as it has a .246 xBA, which is a big jump compared to its .174 BAA.

The Tigers have the second-lowest slugging percentage in the majors. However, they are due for some sizable positive regression at the plate, and they will not need power to do damage tonight.

The Tigers will be up against veteran right-hander Seth Lugo. On paper, Lugo has been solid at the back end of the Padres rotation, but a closer look tells a different story.

Lugo has not been missing bats like in years past, which has led to much more hard contact. He enters this start in the bottom 40% of all qualified pitchers in Average Exit Velocity and Hard-hit Rate allowed.

That level of hard contact is also expected to produce more extra-base hits as he ranks in the 20th percentile in xSLG.

So with the Tigers trending up and Lugo trending down, we should see Detroit on the board early tonight.

Take the over in the first five innings tonight.

Pick: F5 over 4.5 (-115)

Since you could use your traditional BetMGM bonus offer on today’s matchup, let’s review how it ensures success.

So, suppose you deposit $500 and bet it all on the F5 over in today’s matchup against at BetMGM.

If padding your bankroll without actually placing a bet sounds good to you, then you’ll want to check out BetMGM’s “refer a friend” bonus. BetMGM allows users to refer up to 20 friends, and each time that one of your friends signs up, both of you will receive a $50 in bonus bet.

For you to claim your bonus, your friend will need to make their first deposit and place their $50 of bonus bets.