In a series that features great talent with the bats, pitching has prevailed. Will we see another pitcher’s duel this afternoon? See how our expert is playing the matchup and be sure to make the game better by claiming a great offer from BetMGM.

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Lucas Giolito is experiencing a quiet resurgence this season, although it is unlikely that he will reach the same heights as his Cy Young candidate year in 2019. Despite a potential modest regression in his 3.50 ERA, Giolito has shown improvement in his control, reducing the number of walks, and maintaining a solid strikeout rate, allowing him to stay competitive in games.

In his last seven starts, Giolito has given up more than three earned runs only once and more than two earned runs just one other time. Notably, his performance against the Angels, where he struck out nine batters and did not issue a walk in seven innings, stands out despite surrendering a couple of home runs.

Now, Giolito is prepared to face a Cardinals offense that has a weaker profile against right-handed pitching. I have confidence that he can navigate through five innings with minimal damage against them.

On the other side, the White Sox will be up against Steven Matz, a left-handed pitcher who plays into their offensive strengths. However, it is worth noting that while the White Sox have fared better against lefties in previous years, they have been less exceptional this season, ranking 16th with a 102 wRC+ (2% above league average) against left-handed pitching.

Moreover, I don’t expect Matz to have a long outing as he has not started since late May. The Cardinals may choose to piggy-back him with right-hander Dakota Hudson, who has been pitching in relief since making his season debut earlier this month.

BetMGM is offering under 5 at -125, which presents great value considering the possibility of a push at worst.

Pick: F5 under 5 (–125)

Since you could use your traditional BetMGM bonus offer on today’s matchup, let’s review how it ensures success.

So, suppose you deposit $500 and bet it all on the first five under in today’s Cardinals-White Sox matchup at BetMGM.

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