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the SMU passing attack is going to be a significant factor in this matchup.

The Mustangs have thrown the ball nearly 53% of the time, but we could see that rate go up here because it’s the best way to attack this TCU defense.

The Horned Frogs got shredded by Shedeur Sanders in Week 1, and Preston Stone has the ability to replicate that performance.

SMU ranks 15th in Offensive Explosiveness, while the TCU defense ranks 110th in Explosiveness Allowed.

However, it’s not just the Mustangs’ ability to make big plays that will keep them in this game. They should find consistent success through the air, as TCU ranks 112th in completion percentage allowed and 117th in yards per pass allowed.

This is a prime matchup for Stone and company. The key will be giving Stone time to shred the Horned Frogs and put points on the board.

The Horned Frogs proved they’re a fun team to watch offensively when they went blow-for-blow with Colorado.

From that performance, we also know what to expect from them.

TCU is going to test the SMU defense with its tempo, but the Frogs will do so by running the ball down the Mustangs’ throats.

The Horned Frogs come into this matchup 10th in the country in yards per rush.

However, the Mustangs appear to be up to the task defensively. These two teams are dead even in Line Yards and the Mustangs rank 11th in Rushing Success Rate Allowed through three games.

TCU could also put this game in the hands of quarterback Chandler Morris. Let’s not forget Morris is capable, as he won the job over Max Duggan last season.

The Horned Frogs’ passing attack is solid, but again, SMU may have an answer.

The Mustangs are fifth in Pass Play Success Rate Allowed and they’re 10th in Sack Rate.

This game will be a good barometer for the TCU offense.

With the number where it is, I would recommend buying this spread up to the key number of 7. You need to be price-sensitive when buying points, and I wouldn’t pay for the seven if it’s above -130.

You can get a 7 at bet365 for -125 at the time of writing.

SMU + 7 -125 today at bet365 Sportsbook with bonus code NYPNEWS.

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