Fresno State rolls on into Fort Collins seeking its sixth straight win, while Colorado State reels after another blowout loss last week to San Diego State.
The Bulldogs eked out a narrow win over Nevada despite failing to score in the second half and barely covering against a struggling program.
Colorado State, meanwhile, is on a three-game skid, has lost its only conference game, and remains winless against FBS opponents this year.
Fresno State is favored by less than a touchdown, but all signs point to a clear gap in execution, momentum, and identity between these two teams.
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The Rams are averaging just 17 points per game and have the 29th-worst yards per reception in the country, a brutal mismatch against a Fresno secondary allowing just 10.2 YPR.
On the flip side, Fresno State leans heavily on its running back group in the red zone, with its backs leading the FBS in red zone catches and ranking top three in red zone targets.
Don’t expect fireworks here — the Rams haven’t topped 24 points in any game this season, and their three home contests have all stayed under the total.
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Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.