The Mariners return to Seattle with a 2-0 stranglehold on the ALCS against the Blue Jays.
They opened as a -134 favorite in Game 3 behind George Kirby on the bump, with the total set at a tight seven runs.
Toronto, which is priced at +114 on the moneyline on Wednesday, was clubbed, 10-3, in Game 2 while it failed to solve the Mariners’ bullpen.
Shane Bieber gets the ball for Toronto, and he has allowed 15 hits and three homers across his last two starts and hasn’t recorded a win since early September.
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Jorge Polanco enters Game 3 with go-ahead hits in three straight postseason games — an MLB first — and owns a .296 expected batting average across 31 career plate appearances vs. Shane Bieber.
Bieber’s fastball velocity is down nearly two ticks from his Cy Young peak, and opponents have slugged over .500 against it since September.
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Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.