The PGA Tour’s regular season comes to a conclusion this week at the 2023 Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, N.C.
Like we saw last week at the 3M, the Wyndham features a watered-down field with most of the Tour’s elite players opting to rest ahead of the three-leg FedEx Cup Playoffs, which kicks off at TPC Southwind next week.
Hideki Matsuyama is a very lukewarm favorite this week at +1800, and the chasing pack is not exactly a murderer’s row either.
Sungjae Im, Russell Henley and Si Woo Kim are essentially co-favorites at +2000, while Sam Burns (+2200), Denny McCarthy (+2500) and JT Poston (+2800) are the only other golfers under +3000.
This event has been pretty kind to long shots in the past, so we’ll take a look at some big prices in a very beatable field.
It looked like Justin Suh was on his way to breaking out earlier this year.
The 26-year-old was terrific during the early stages of 2023, finishing T20-T40-T5-T24-T6 at the Farmers Insurance Open, Genesis Invitational, Honda Classic, Arnold Palmer Invitational and THE PLAYERS – which is not exactly an easy run of tournaments.
But Suh came back to earth a bit over the second half of the campaign, though a T26 at the PGA Championship followed by a T16 at the Charles Schwab were both impressive results.
So even though Suh’s form has dipped of late – he’s got one top-30 finish in his last six outings – he’s shown he’s got the talent to contend in much tougher fields on harder courses than this one.
This is a great number on a player with this much talent.
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The results have been all over the map for C.T. Pan over his last five starts.
The 31-year-old posted consecutive top-5 finishes at the AT&T Byron Nelson and RBC Canadian Open but then missed the weekend in his next two starts at the Travelers and Scottish Open.
Pan is coming off a 70th-place finish at last week’s 3M Open.
But I’m fine with drawing a line through the Travelers and 3M because they tend to favor bombers and Pan is not long off the tee, and the Scottish Open because it is played on a links-style course.
Pan plays his best golf on short, score-able courses and Sedgefield ticks both of those boxes.
Pan has played this event five times and has a runner-up finish and has not missed a cut (he withdrew in 2022).
Few players have been more boom or bust than Zac Blair of late.
The Salt Lake City native has missed five cuts in his last nine stroke-play events, but when he’s made the weekend he’s posted some terrific results.
Blair was T10 at the Valspar, runner-up at the Travelers and is coming off a T13 at the 3M Open.
He’s certainly a serious threat to miss the cut, but those results are good enough to bite on Blair at 300/1.