Everything is pointing to the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Final.

After taking advantage of an undisciplined effort from the Florida Panthers in Game 1, the Knights stormed the Cats in a 7-2 win in Game 2, putting the aggregate scoreline for the series at 12-4 in Vegas’ favor.

All the momentum seems to be with the Knights.

That doesn’t mean the series is over, though.

In fact, the Panthers may feel quite comfortable in this spot.

They’ve basically been playing must-win hockey since the All-Star Break and have been left for dead plenty of times throughout the regular season and playoffs.

It wasn’t too long ago that the Cats had to come back from a 3-1 series deficit against the record-setting Boston Bruins in Round 1.

(8 p.m. ET. TNT)

There are a couple of contrasting market narratives in Game 3.

On one hand, bookmakers normally will bake a “must-win” tax into a line when a team is returning home in an 0-2 hole in a best-of-7 series.

But there will also be plenty of support showing up for the Knights after what they showed in the first 120 minutes of the Stanley Cup Final. 

All of this adds up to the Panthers being a slight -120 home favorite at the time of writing, but there’s definitely a chance we see this line shade towards a pick’em as we get closer to puck drop.

In any event, this game will be priced pretty close to a coin flip and it’s pretty tough to argue with that notion given the way the first two contests played out and the extenuating circumstances at play. 

At this point in the season it makes sense to rely on old-fashioned handicapping — finding angles and betting into them in different ways — than to rely solely on numbers and data.

Statistics will guide you through most of the year, but leaning too heavily on them in a one-game sample is asking a bit much.

Instead, bettors can have a little fun in these outlier events and try to get paid off on a hypothesis.

The angle that I will be betting into in Game 3 will be that Adin Hill (finally) comes back down to earth.

It wasn’t too long ago that Hill was considered the fourth option in goal for the Golden Knights, and his career numbers suggest he’s an average NHL backup, so it would not be shocking if the 27-year-old finally stumbles in the playoffs.

Hill has beaten me on this prediction plenty of times in this tournament, so maybe this is just the definition of insanity, but as we saw with Sergei Bobrovsky in Vegas, things can go south in a hurry for a netminder.

There are plenty of ways to build a “Hill falls apart” ticket.

Still, the path I’m taking is building a same-game parlay with Florida to cover the alternate puckline of -2.5 goals parlayed with the Panthers on the three-way moneyline in the first period (+180), Matthew Tkachuk (+135) and Aleksander Barkov (+230).

The parlay pays out +2879 at FanDuel.

The Parlay (+2879): Florida -2.5 + Panthers ML (first period + Matthew Tkachuk +135 + Aleksander Barkov +230