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National Post
National Post
29 Jan 2025


NextImg:Asteroid has one in 83 chance of hitting earth in 2032, astronomers say

An asteroid, called 2024 YR4, has a one in 83 chance of hitting earth within the next decade, according to astronomers.

The asteroid is estimated to be 58 metres (or more than 190 feet) wide, per NASA’s Eyes on Asteroids webpage, and takes just over four years to complete one solar orbit. The date given for its next closest approach to earth is Dec. 22, 2032.

2024 YR4 is ranked first on the the European Space Agency’s risk list, a catalogue of all objects with a non-zero impact probability. There are currently 1,744 near-earth asteroids on the list.