Vice President Kamala Harris has a narrow edge over former President Donald Trump in the final Des Moines Register poll of Iowa, a shocking result showing her with a lead in a state expected to be firmly in Trump’s corner.

The poll, sponsored by the Des Moines Register and conducted by J. Ann Selzer, nailed the final results of the presidential race in Iowa in both 2016 and 2020. While Iowa is no longer considered a swing state and rewards only six electoral voters, the Register survey remains closely watched as an indicator of how white voters across the Midwest may vote.

The poll found Harris earning 47 percent of the vote to 44 percent for Trump.

“It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming,” Selzer told the newspaper. “She has clearly leaped into a leading position.”

Selzer and the Register surveyed 808 likely Iowa voters from Oct. 28 to Oct. 31. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.