In my post last night, I noted the implausibility of Mamdani’s election numbers compared to his polling in which he performed poorly with

I said the results either reflected low turnout or tinkering. Probably both.

Well the low turnout has been confirmed. Less than 30% of Democrats voted in the party’s mayoral primary. Of those 43% supposedly voted for Mamdani. (Ranked choice voting also makes this whole thing more complicated, but I’m keeping it simple.)

As I note in my upcoming article, “56% of registered voters in the city are Democrats so some 7.2% of city residents voted for him. New York City has a population of 8.2 million. Of those 432,305 or 5% voted for Mamdani.”

You can go with the 7% figure which represents voters, but either way this is far from the massive sweep of the city that the media is hyping.

Most New Yorkers didn’t vote for Mamdani. Even most Democrats stayed home.

Less than 30% even bothered to vote.{ai:summary}<p>Mamdani's election results indicate low voter turnout, with less than 30% of Democrats participating in the mayoral primary. Of those, 43% reportedly voted for him, translating to only about 5% of the city's population. This suggests that the media's portrayal of a sweeping victory is misleading.</p><p>The analysis highlights that even among Democrats, a significant number chose not to vote, questioning the legitimacy of Mamdani's support. The complexity of ranked-choice voting further complicates the interpretation of these results. #politics</p>

Only 5% of New Yorkers Voted for Mamdani

Loading...