


I made some wrong predictions ahead of Election Day. A whole lot of people did. And those who didn’t, if you average out their predictions across more than one election, made wrong predictions too. Elections, like bond rates or lottery results, have art and science to them, and no one gets it right all the time. (Including the guy the media kept citing for predicting the last 11 out of 12 presidential elections correctly, he’s now 11 out of 13). But there are different ways to react to it.
Here’s the liberal way.
Historian and political scientist Allan Lichtman is blaming disinformation and billionaire tech mogul Elon Musk for his incorrect prediction that Vice President Harris would win the presidency.
“Number one, disinformation. We’ve always had disinformation, but disinformation has exploded to an unprecedented degree. You talked about a grievance election, but a lot of that grievance was driven by disinformation,” Lichtman said during an appearance on Chris Cuomo’s NewsNation show.
My side would have won if we were in total control of the narrative. Rarely has that wish been put quite as bluntly and stupidly.
My predictions were right. It was the American people who got it wrong.
“Lichtman had correctly predicted nearly every presidential race since 1984 using a formula of 13 true-or-false questions, and this year predicted Harris would win, saying only a major event overseas could still flip the race in Trump’s favor.”
But Lichtman has a 100% track record for predicting who should have won every election.