In short, it’s working.

The American Enterprise Institute, which is not at all a fan of the outcome, released a paper predicting zero net migration in 2025 and 2026 (before, it hopes, we come to our senses and open the border again.)

We believe zero or net negative migration for the year is more likely…For the remainder of Trump’s term, there is naturally more uncertainty. We anticipate that net migration could be even lower in 2026 than in 2025 before starting to rebound in 2027 and 2028 as the adverse economic and political consequences of the extreme policy stance become clear. Potential employment growth, meaning employment growth when the labor market is operating sustainably at “full employment,” could be between 10,000 and 40,000 jobs a month in the second half of 2025

What that actually means is that without a mass invasion every month, we can have more sustainable job growth without having to meet impossible expectations with junk jobs. If we cut the cost of a large illegal population, the cost of government and social services can be reduced as well.