No, Canada isn’t joining America anytime soon. But Alberta may be another matter.

Alberta is headed toward a referendum on splitting from Canada. And while I’ve seen polls with numbers all over the place, this Leger poll is being quoted all over the place to suggest that it may be really close.

Nearly two thirds of Canadians (62%) oppose Alberta becoming an independent country, including 50% who say they are strongly opposed. Opposition is highest in British Columbia (76%) and Ontario (69%) and among Liberal (83%) and NDP voters (80%). In Alberta, however, support is notably higher, with 47% in favour and only 48% opposed.

If true, those numbers are pretty close.

But even assuming this were to happen (and I really doubt it will), this doesn’t mean statehood. Most Albertans polled want an independent country. (Most really want the job-killing ‘green’ regulations of the Carney regime to end and this is leverage) but it’s not hard to sketch a scenario getting from A to B to C.

Maybe.

One problem with this sales pitch is that America just had a good election, but why join another ‘union’ that’s potentially one election away from letting California determine your energy production regulations? Even assuming Alberta split, America would have to have its house in better order. But that’s still the most direct route to 51.