The gap between Democrats and Republicans on U.S. foreign policy—once an area of relative bipartisan consensus—has widened over the years, especially as the Republican Party has evolved.
In a preelection survey of international relations scholars in the United States conducted by the Teaching, Research, and International Policy Project (TRIP) at William & Mary in October, experts anticipated stark differences in how Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump would carry out foreign policy if elected.
These contrasts were particularly striking on U.S. participation in international institutions, tariffs, and foreign aid. IR scholars estimated a 38 percent chance that Trump would take the United States out of NATO, for example.
(Foreign Policy has long worked with TRIP, which surveys IR scholars on pertinent policy issues. Check out the 2020 preelection survey.)
Source: TRIP Snap poll
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