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Forbes
Forbes
20 Feb 2025


Walmart shares headed toward their worst day in more than a year Thursday, knocking off billions from the net worths of the retail giant’s heirs, as the company issued a weaker forecast for 2025 than investors hoped — and the world’s largest firm by revenue cautioned about the impact of President Donald Trump’s tariffs on consumer prices.

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People wait for a Walmart store to open on Black Friday last year.

AFP via Getty Images

Walmart stock fell more than 6.8% by 10 a.m. EST after the company delivered its fourth-quarter earnings report earlier Thursday.

The stock is on track for its steepest daily loss since November 2023 and its seventh-worst day of the last decade, according to FactSet data.

The slide came despite robust Q4 results, as Walmart’s $180.6 billion in sales and $0.66 earnings per share last quarter bested consensus analyst forecasts.

But the retailer’s guidance for its fiscal year ending January 2026 was less optimistic than Wall Street anticipated, as Walmart said it expects full-year sales to grow by 3% to 4% this year, below the roughly 4.1% sales increase projected by analysts and for full-year earnings per share to come in between $2.50 to $2.60, below analyst forecasts of $2.77.

Descendants of Walmart founders Bud and Sam Walton, who rank among the richest people in the world, lost billions of dollars from their fortunes Thursday. The three living children of Sam Walton—world’s 16th-wealthiest Alice, 14th-richest Jim and 13th-wealthiest Rob Walton—were the three biggest losers on Forbes’ real-time billionaires list, as each suffered a net worth loss of nearly $6 billion. The Walton siblings’ late brother John Walton, his son Lukas Walton and wife Christy Walton, lost about $3 billion collectively. Bud Walton’s daughters Nancy Walton Laurie and Ann Walton Kroenke suffered a more than $1 billion collective hit to their fortunes.

$51 billion. That’s about how much market capitalization Walmart lost Thursday morning. Walmart rival Target’s total market value was $59 billion.

“We're wired to try and save people money, so that'll be our ultimate goal,” Walmart CEO Doug McMillon said about tariffs on a Thursday conference call. The company did not account for tariffs into its full-year forecasts, Walmart CFO John David Rainey told The Wall Street Journal. “We are not immune to what is being suggested, but we’ll work with suppliers,” Rainey told the newspaper. Rainey said in November it’s likely tariffs will result in higher prices at the retailer. Walmart also indicated the dollar’s strengthening since Trump’s election victory may weigh on results, forecasting roughly a 2% impact to profits from foreign currency exchange rates this year.

Walmart, the U.S.’ 10th-largest public company by market cap, is still amidst a strong stock market run. Shares are still up 8% year-to-date and 66% over the last year even with Thursday’s historic pullback. Walmart’s $681 billion revenue and $20.1 billion net profit in its fiscal year ending last month were both records.