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Forbes
Forbes
4 Aug 2023


Midland RockHounds v Frisco Roughriders

FRISCO, TEXAS - JULY 08: Luisangel Acuna #3 of the Frisco RoughRiders walks to the dugout during the ... [+] game against the Midland RockHounds at Riders Field on July 08, 2023 in Frisco, Texas. (Photo by John E. Moore III/Getty Images)

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The MLB trading deadline arrived at 6 PM Eastern on Monday, and once the dust settled, lots of big names changed destinations. Yesterday and today, we ran down the results on a team-by-team basis, sorted by buyer-seller status. First we handled the American League - today, it’s the National League’s turn.

I did a deep dive on the Los Angeles Dodgers and their contrarian buying approach here. Prior to the deadline, they brought aboard starter Lance Lynn and reliever Joe Kelly from the White Sox, SS Amed Rosario from the Guardians and UT Enrique Hernandez from the Red Sox. None had positive bWAR when acquired. Lynn was nails in his first start as a Dodger, throwing way more fastballs than typical. The price paid wasn’t exorbitant - RHP Nick Nastrini (#62 on my 2022 minor league pitching prospect list) went to the Sox along with relief prospect Jordan Leasure and backup OF Trayce Thompson, failed starting pitcher reclamation project Noah Syndergaard went to Cleveland, and ordinary relief prospects Nick Robertson and Justin Hagenman went to Boston.

Right before the deadline, the Dodgers sent two more relatively unheralded prospects, 1B Devin Mann and SS Derlin Figueroa, to Kansas City for starter/reliever Ryan Yarbrough. All in all, the Dodgers did well to bring in some useful parts at a reasonable cost.

Two teams that many saw as potential sellers - the Chicago Cubs and San Diego Padres - opted to buy at the deadline. In my opinion, both made the correct call. By batted ball-based method saw both clubs as true-talent playoff-caliber clubs at the All Star break. The Cubs added 3B Jeimer Candelario from the Nationals in exchange for minor league SS Kevin Made and pitching prospect DJ Herz. My minor league evaluation system pegged Made as the #111 position player and Herz as the #57 minor league pitching prospect in 2022, though both have seen their stock fall a bit in 2023. The Cubs also added RHP Jose Cuas for Quad-A bat Nelson Velasquez in a minor deal. Candelario makes the suddenly potent Cub lineup one bat longer.

The Padres added another potential shutdown arm to the back of their pen by adding Scott Barlow from the Royals. They did so at an affordable cost, sending rookie ball reliever Jesus Rios and 2022 3rd rounder RHP Henry Williams in the other direction. They also cut bait on former top pitching prospect Ryan Weathers, sending him to the Marlins for 1B Garrett Cooper and pitching prospect Sean Reynolds. They doubled down on 1Bs by landing Ji-Man Choi along with good ole LHP Rich Hill from the Pirates for three prospects, pitcher Jackson Wolf (#138 on my 2023 mid-season top pitching prospect list), OF Estuar Suero and 1B Alfonso Rivas. Suero is a 17-year-old rookie ball lottery ticket, Rivas a 26-year-old journeyman fringe 40-man roster guy. I still see the Padre position player group as a mish-mash with some square pegs and round holes, but their core guys are great and they did fill some pitching gaps.

The Philadelphia Phillies added to an already deep starting pitching rotation by acquiring Michael Lorenzen from the Tigers. To do so, they sent my #69 2022 position player prospect, 2B Hao-Yu Lee, to Detroit. He’s a legit prospect, but it gives the Phils the luxury of expanding to a six-man starting rotation, keeping everyone fresh for the stretch run. They also made a minor deal with the Pirates, bringing aboard 2B Rodolfo Castro in exchange for LHP Bailey Falter. They upgrade from Josh Harrison to Castro on the bench, and from Falter to Lorenzen in the rotation.

The Milwaukee Brewers made some tidy adjustments to the fringes of their major league roster. First base has been a revolving door for them this season, and they hope the acquisition of Carlos Santana from the Pirates for 17-year-old shortstop prospect Jhonny Severino grants them stability. It’s a totally sensible deal on both sides - a reasonably priced vet for a $1 million-plus bonus baby lottery ticket. The Crew also added Mark Canha (from the Mets for pitching prospect Justin Jarvis) and lefty reliever Andrew Chafin (from the Diamondbacks for righty reliever Peter Strzelecki). They also did some 40-man roster cleanup, sending catcher Alex Jackson to the Rays for minor league starter Evan McKendry (a surprising #36 on my pitching prospect list in 2022), and likely non-tender 3B Luis Urias to the Red Sox for pitching prospect Bradley Blalock. No signature move here, but their position player depth is clearly improved.

The Atlanta Braves quietly enhanced their bullpen by acquiring Pierce Johnson and Brad Hand in separate deals with the Rockies. They gave up relatively affordable minor league pitching pieces in relievers Victor Vodnik and Alec Barger and starter Tanner Gordon. None have been ranked on my top pitching prospect lists. They also swiped useful UT Nicky Lopez from the Royals in exchange for lefty Taylor Hearn who had just been picked up in a minor cash deal from the Rangers days before. Decent adds at negligible cost.

The San Francisco Giants added OF AJ Pollock and fringe 40-man guy Mark Mathias from the Mariners for cash or a player to be named later. Very low cost for potentially useful help down the stretch. The Cincinnati Reds were barely active, but did add middle reliever Sam Moll from the Athletics for minor league power arm Tim Boyle (#126 on my minor league pitching prospect list in 2022).

Quite the revolving door for the Miami Marlins at the deadline. Out goes 1B Cooper (and pitching prospect Reynolds) to the Padres for Weathers. They cut bait on failed free agent signing Jean Segura, sending him and recent #1 pick SS Kahlil Watson (#160 on my 2023 mid-season top position player prospect list) to the Guardians for struggling 1B Josh Bell. They added Mets’ closer David Robertson for rookie ballers INF Marco Vargas and C Ronald Hernandez - both youngsters are promising but a long ways away. They also swapped MLB relievers with the Twins, bringing aboard Jorge Lopez in exchange for Dylan Floro. INF Jake Burger was added from the White Sox in exchange for pitching prospect Jake Eder. Watson was the only prospect going either way in these deals to be ranked on my 2022-23 prospect lists. All in all, none of these deals move the needle much, unless the rookie ballers sent to the Mets pan out.

The Arizona Diamondbacks added Jace Peterson and Tommy Pham to their infield and outfield mixes and Paul Sewald to the back end of their pen. Meanwhile, they subtracted Chafin (in exchange for Brewer Strzelecki) from the same. They sent minor league arm Chad Patrick to the A’s for Peterson and promising 17-year SS Jeremy Rodriguez, to the Mets for Pham. They sent MLB utilityman Josh Rojas, minor league INF Ryan Bliss and OF Dominic Canzone to the Mariners. The latter two ranked #71 and #182 on my 2023 mid-season position player prospect lists. All in all, I think the D-backs got pretty good value across the board here.

The Washington Nationals were pretty quiet, selling only 3B Candelario to the Cubs (see above) for prospects Made and Herz.

The Pittsburgh Pirates moved on from a big chunk of their opening day roster, cutting ties with 1Bs Santana and Choi, 2B Castro, LHP Hill and C Austin Hedges, LHP Wolf, the leader of the three-player package received from the Padres for Choi and Hill, is likely the best prospect brought aboard, though the club also has high hopes for Brewer bonus baby Severino and former Phillie 5th starter Falter.

The Colorado Rockies are the NL version of the Kansas City Royals in my book. They just seem to evaluate players differently than everyone else, and not in a good way. Johnson and Hand head to Atlanta, with regular OF Randal Grichuk and 1B C.J. Cron headed to the Angels. In return, the Rockies received pitchers Vodnik, Gordon and Barger from the Braves and Mason Albright and Jake Madden from the Angels. Only Albright (#135 in 2022) has made my top pitching prospect list in either 2022 or 2023.

I was very critical of the New York Mets when they pieced together their 2023 “superteam”. The holes on the position player side were still plain to see, and the pitching staff was old, top-heavy and risky. To his credit, Mets’ owner Steve Cohen looked in the mirror at the deadline and did something about it. Max Scherzer - gone to the Rangers, for top shortstop prospect Luisangel Acuna (#31 position player prospect in 2022). Justin Verlander - gone to the Astros, for outfield prospects Drew Gilbert and Ryan Clifford (#31 and #7 position player prospects at midseason 2023). The Mets sent along over $70 million combined in the two deals to essentially buy themselves the top of a farm system. Personally, I believe the mainstream prospect evaluation community is a little light on Gilbert and Clifford - the Mets did very well here.

The club also bid adieu to Canha, Robertson, Pham and reliever Dominic Leone, bringing aboard prospects Jarvis, Vargas, Hernandez and Rodriguez. The latter three are all teenagers who are performing well in rookie ball. The Mets deserve to be derided for the club they put together this season, but also to be praised for eradicating it. Yankee fans are pretty jealous right now.

Lastly, we have the St. Louis Cardinals. They decimated their pitching staff at the break, subtracting starters Jordan Montgomery and Jack Flaherty and relievers Jordan Hicks and Chris Stratton. SS Paul DeJong was also moved. Montgomery and Stratton went to Texas for a package fronted by INF Thomas Saggese (#57 mid-2023 position player prospect) and RHP Tekoah Roby (#28 mid-2023 pitching prospect), while Hicks and DeJong went to the Blue Jays in two separate deals that netted them pitching prospects Sem Robberse, Adam Kloffenstein (#90 and #96 on my mid-2023 pitcher list) and 24-year High-A starter Eric Svanson. Flaherty went to the Orioles, netting a package of INF Cesar Prieto and pitching prospects Drew Rom and Zack Showalter. Prieto ranked #265 on my midseason position player prospect list, Rom #40 on the pitcher list. Showalter’s a pretty solid bet to make the year-end list. The Cards did well both quantity and quality-wise in these deals and will be potential contenders as soon as next season.