Trump is up 48%-47% in Nevada, according to a CNN/SSRS survey released Tuesday (margin of error 4.6 points)

Harris leads 48.8%-48.3% among likely voters according to a Bloomberg/Morning Consult survey released Wednesday (margin of error 5 points)—effectively a tied race since the poll’s margin of error is five points.

Meanwhile, Harris trails Trump by one point, 47% to 46%, in an AARP survey of likely voters released Oct. 22 (margin of error 4).

Trump has a 0.2-point average edge in Nevada, according to FiveThirtyEight’s polling average, while an Emerson poll released Oct. 10 found Harris leading by one point, 48% to 47% (margin of error 3.2), and a Wall Street Journal poll (margin of error 4) shows Trump with an unusually large five-point advantage.

Nevada—which is the smallest swing state, with just six electoral votes—has voted for Democratic presidential candidates in every election since 2008, and President Joe Biden beat Trump there by 2.4 points in 2020.

Support for Harris among Latino voters will be crucial to her success in both Arizona and Nevada, where Hispanic and Latino people make up about 30% of the population and polls show she has lost support among the key demographic.

Biden carried Latino voters in Nevada over Trump 61% to 35% in 2020, according to CNN exit polls, while Harris leads Trump 56% to 40% in Nevada, according to an October USA Today/Suffolk University poll of Latino voters.

Harris is particularly struggling with Latino men, according to the survey that found 53% of male Latino voters ages 18-34 in Nevada support Trump and 40% support Harris, while 53% of Latino men ages 35-49 in the state support Trump and 39% support Harris.

Immigration and inflation top the list of Latino voter concerns in Nevada, according to the USA Today/Suffolk poll, which found 37% said inflation was their top concern and 17% said immigration.