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Vira Kravchuk


Hungarian PM Orbán claims US already accepted Russia won the war. He predicts formal Ukraine division into three zones

Viktor Orbán said that future security negotiations will formally divide Ukrainian territory between Russian control, a demilitarized buffer zone, and Western influence.
isw hungarian pm orbán appears augmenting russian info ops victor president vladimir putin moscow 5 july 2024 ria novosti orban meets
Hungarian PM Victor Orbán and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow, 5 July 2024. Photo: RIA Novosti.
Hungarian PM Orbán claims US already accepted Russia won the war. He predicts formal Ukraine division into three zones

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has declared that the US allegedly acknowledged Russia as the victor in the ongoing war and that “Ukraine’s fate seems to be decided.”

Hungary is among the few EU countries, alongside Slovakia, that has a strained relationship with Ukraine, which deteriorated after Russia’s full-scale invasion began in 2022. Hungary has consistently blocked or vetoed key EU measures supporting Ukraine, including weapons shipments, financial aid packages, and accession negotiations.

Orbán’s government justifies this opposition by citing concerns over the rights of ethnic Hungarians in Ukraine’s western Transcarpathia region, though Kyiv views this as a pretext for obstruction.

Moreover, Hungary is the only EU member still purchasing Russian gas via pipeline as of 2024-2025. This energy relationship means Hungary continues sending billions in revenue to Moscow’s economy that helps finance the war effort.
The Hungarian leader argued that America has shifted its global strategy after recognizing China’s growing dominance in international trade.

“They [the US] have faced the fact that Russia has won the war. Without sending troops, Russia’s victory is inevitable, but troops are not being sent. Russia cannot be separated from China in the coming years,” Orbán said, Magyar Nemzet reports.

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Xi Jinping has strengthened ties with Putin to oppose American global influence, minimising international efforts trying to isolate Russia diplomatically.
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Orbán divides Ukraine into “three zones”

The Hungarian Prime Minister went further, predicting Ukraine will be carved into three zones following future security negotiations.

The territorial division Orbán envisions splits Ukraine into:

  • Russian zone
  • Demilitarized buffer zone
  • Western zone

Orbán characterized Ukraine’s pre-war status as a buffer state with influence split equally between Russia and the West. He contends this arrangement has collapsed due to the war.

“Today, if you look at events and interpret them coldly, Ukraine is now being divided. Before the war, Ukraine had an important position, it existed as a buffer state: 50% belonged to the Russians, 50% to the West. As a result of the war, this collapsed,” he stated.

Then the Hungarian leader pointed to current European discussions about security guarantees as evidence this partition has already begun.

“Today Europeans elegantly talk about security guarantees, which in turn means the division of Ukraine,” he said, suggesting Western acknowledgment of Russian territorial control represents the first step toward formal partition.

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A coalition of 26 nations agreed to provide security guarantees for Ukraine that would kick in after any peace agreement is reached. The guarantees involve the deployment of an international force across land, sea, and air to prevent future Russian attacks. Countries like France and the UK are also prepared to station troops on Ukrainian soil once fighting stops.

Orbán claims EU “in decay”

The Hungarian leader also delivered a sweeping critique of European unity, describing the EU as being “in a state of decay” and suggesting the bloc’s 2028-2035 budget could be its last before eurozone collapse. He contrasted this with what he called Hungary’s successful economic model.

Despite predicting Ukraine’s dismemberment, Orbán insisted Hungary supports Ukrainian survival.

“We don’t want to push Ukraine into nowhere, we are not anti-Ukrainian,” he stated, explaining that a collapsing neighbor would harm Hungarian interests.

Orbán calls for Europe to negotiate with Putin

Orbán renewed his opposition to Ukrainian NATO and EU membership, advocating instead for a Moscow agreement requiring Ukraine to abandon Euro-Atlantic aspirations. He criticized the EU for behaving “like a lame duck during the war” and called for direct European negotiations with Russia rather than American-mediated talks.

One of the key demands Russia presents as a condition to end the war is for Ukraine to abandon its aspirations in joining NATO. 

Previously, Orbán declared that Russia has already secured victory with only the timing of Western acknowledgment remaining uncertain.