Former President Donald Trump is still dominating Republican primary polls and leading a hypothetical rematch with President Joe Biden as Biden now trails behind three GOP candidates, according to the latest polling average from Real Clear Politics.
Trump’s lead in the Republican primary stands at 48 points as of Wednesday morning. He holds 61% of the party’s support, according to the Real Clear Politics average of national polling. The former president also continues to post polling leads against Biden, who has dipped recently and is facing some of the lowest approval ratings of his presidency. Trump currently leads Biden 46.7% to 44.7%.
Biden’s polling slump is reflected in his numbers against Republican candidates Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis as both lead the president in a hypothetical 2024 matchup. Haley — the former South Carolina governor and U.S. ambassador to the U.N. under Trump — is leading Biden by nearly five points, according to the RCP average. The latest poll from The Messenger/HarrisX showed Haley leading by an impressive 10 points, while a Fox News poll from a month ago had similar results, with Haley ahead of Biden by 11 points.
DeSantis has also posted some of his best polling numbers against Biden in the past month. The Messenger/HarrisX showed the Florida governor leading in a hypothetical general election against Biden by two points, while last month’s Fox News poll showed him ahead by five points. It remains unclear if DeSantis’ polling numbers were affected by his debate with California Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom last week.
Latest RCP Averages of 2024 General Election Matchups:
Biden v. Trump: Trump +2.0%
Biden v. DeSantis: DeSantis +1.0%
Biden v. Haley: Haley +4.8%https://t.co/GuSEE7uAdvhttps://t.co/7qOYGjEv13https://t.co/sYwXBO50Ln
— Tom Bevan (@TomBevanRCP) December 5, 2023
The trailing Republican candidates will gather for another debate Wednesday night in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Haley and DeSantis will take center stage being flanked by tech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy and former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie.
Trump will once again forego the debate, meaning the leading Republican candidate will have skipped each of the first four primary debates. Since the first GOP debate on August 23, Trump’s national polling lead in the primary has grown by seven points, while his lead in Iowa has improved by around two points, per the RCP average.
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The former president’s polling dominance also comes as he faces multiple legal battles. In the past year, Trump has been indicted four times and charged with state and federal crimes related to alleged hush money payments to porn actress Stormy Daniels, his handling of classified documents after leaving office, and his challenging the 2020 election results.