Miami-Dade County is south of the forecast cone for Hurricane Milton as of Tuesday morning, but forecasters warned that the exact track, intensity and timing of the storm remain uncertain and likely to change.

The exact track and intensity of Milton remains in flux. On Tuesday morning, the storm had weakened from a Category 5 to Category 4 hurricane. The landfall is forecast to be just south of Tampa Bay, but the cone of uncertainty stretches from the Gulf Hammock Wildlife park south to Captiva Island.

After landfall, the forecast shows Milton tracking parallel to Interstate 4, passing just south of Orlando, and exiting the east coast near Cape Canaveral.

Regardless of where the storm hits directly, parts of South Florida are at risk of flash flooding, destructive wind and possible tornadoes.

Here’s the latest forecast track: